{
  "schema_version": "1.0.0",
  "domain": "preconvergence.com",
  "artifact_type": "PRECONVERGENCE_METHOD",
  "status": "METHOD_PUBLISHED",
  "updated": "2026-09-02",
  "definition": "An evidence-disciplined method for investigating independently observed signals before a shared structure becomes broadly recognized.",
  "progression": [
    {
      "id": "OBSERVED",
      "question": "What happened?",
      "test": "Record the event and its source boundary before interpretation."
    },
    {
      "id": "INDEPENDENCE",
      "question": "Are these genuinely separate signals?",
      "test": "Separate evidentiary origins; account for shared lineage and overlapping windows."
    },
    {
      "id": "ALIGNMENT",
      "question": "What direction are the independent signals beginning to share?",
      "test": "Name the common direction without turning co-occurrence into causation."
    },
    {
      "id": "PRECONVERGENCE",
      "question": "Is a structure visible before broad recognition?",
      "test": "State the emerging topology as a bounded hypothesis, not a settled category."
    },
    {
      "id": "ESCALATION",
      "question": "What would confirm convergence?",
      "test": "Publish a dated, observable condition that would strengthen the thesis."
    },
    {
      "id": "FALSIFIER",
      "question": "What would break the thesis?",
      "test": "Publish evidence that would weaken or invalidate the proposed structure."
    }
  ],
  "boundaries": [
    "Observation is not convergence.",
    "Repeated reporting from one origin is not independent confirmation.",
    "Alignment is not causation.",
    "A forecast without an escalation condition and a falsifier is incomplete.",
    "An operator's domain registration is not market validation.",
    "Preconvergence is a publication method here, not a claimed standard or canonical category name."
  ],
  "publication_gate": {
    "required": [
      "source-bounded observations",
      "independence assessment",
      "directional alignment",
      "explicit escalation condition",
      "explicit falsifier"
    ],
    "prohibited_shortcuts": [
      "source propagation counted as confirmation",
      "overlapping measurement windows counted as independence",
      "operator portfolio action counted as external demand",
      "hypothesis language presented as settled fact"
    ]
  },
  "scope": [
    "artificial intelligence",
    "markets",
    "infrastructure",
    "regulation",
    "capital",
    "energy",
    "advertising",
    "commerce",
    "geopolitics"
  ],
  "channel_state": {
    "articles": "NONE_PUBLISHED",
    "abf": "NOT_CONFIGURED",
    "agent_discovery": "NOT_CONFIGURED",
    "intelligence_replication": "NOT_CONFIGURED"
  },
  "related_but_distinct": [
    {
      "url": "https://agent-intelligence.org/",
      "relation": "subject and research field"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://poly-agents.com/",
      "relation": "multi-agent architecture"
    }
  ]
}
